BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
Georgia State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
Georgia State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.27 |
30.77 (+6.50) |
20.33 |
19.76 (-0.58) |
19.76 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
363.27 |
350.99 (-12.28) |
372.56 |
370.96 (-1.60) |
370.96 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.40 |
5.14 (-0.26) |
5.57 |
5.50 (-0.08) |
5.50 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.36 |
29.85 (-0.51) |
32.56 |
33.04 (+0.48) |
33.04 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
409.91 |
411.06 (+1.16) |
417.89 |
435.65 (+17.76) |
435.65 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.42 |
6.33 (-0.09) |
6.34 |
6.64 (+0.30) |
6.64 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
@Georgia Tech |
13.87 |
33.87 |
+20.00 |
47.74 |
17.92% |
L 12-35 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Chattanooga |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 24-21 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Vanderbilt |
17.84 |
36.22 |
+18.38 |
54.07 |
20.52% |
W 36-32 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Georgia Southern |
24.01 |
35.17 |
+11.16 |
59.18 |
32.10% |
L 21-38 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Old Dominion |
18.96 |
32.40 |
+13.43 |
51.36 |
28.46% |
L 14-21 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-17 |
@Marshall |
19.39 |
34.44 |
+15.05 |
53.83 |
25.86% |
L 20-35 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-26 |
@App State |
25.86 |
25.99 |
+0.12 |
51.85 |
49.80% |
L 26-33 |
2-5 |
| 2024-11-01 |
@UConn |
19.77 |
29.22 |
+9.45 |
48.99 |
34.85% |
L 27-34 |
2-6 |
| 2024-11-09 |
@James Madison |
15.42 |
42.94 |
+27.52 |
58.36 |
5.86% |
L 7-38 |
2-7 |
| 2024-11-16 |
Arkansas State |
28.99 |
26.21 |
-2.79 |
55.20 |
54.47% |
L 20-27 |
2-8 |
| 2024-11-24 |
@Texas State |
17.89 |
48.35 |
+30.46 |
66.24 |
1.15% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Coastal Carolina |
26.86 |
35.13 |
+8.27 |
61.99 |
36.74% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
62.51% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
37.09% |
62.51% |
37.49% |
| 4-8 |
0.40% |
99.60% |
0.40% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
2.12% |
| 2-10 |
10.33% |
| 3-9 |
22.71% |
| 4-8 |
28.20% |
| 5-7 |
21.44% |
| 6-6 |
10.79% |
| 7-5 |
3.50% |
| 8-4 |
0.80% |
| 9-3 |
0.12% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |