BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
Georgia State 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
Georgia State 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
24.27 |
30.77 (+6.50) |
20.75 |
18.32 (-2.43) |
24.54 (+6.22) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
363.27 |
350.99 (-12.28) |
372.00 |
324.44 (-47.56) |
337.72 (+13.28) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.40 |
5.14 (-0.26) |
5.52 |
4.80 (-0.73) |
4.97 (+0.17) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
30.36 |
29.85 (-0.51) |
31.50 |
31.55 (+0.05) |
30.70 (-0.85) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
409.91 |
411.06 (+1.16) |
424.75 |
444.86 (+20.11) |
427.96 (-16.90) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.42 |
6.33 (-0.09) |
6.06 |
6.49 (+0.43) |
6.41 (-0.08) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.1 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-09-01 |
@Georgia Tech |
22.75 |
38.42 |
+15.67 |
61.16 |
24.87% |
L 12-35 |
0-1 |
| 2024-09-07 |
Chattanooga |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 24-21 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
Vanderbilt |
28.38 |
39.49 |
+11.11 |
67.87 |
32.18% |
W 36-32 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-28 |
Georgia Southern |
33.03 |
37.20 |
+4.17 |
70.22 |
43.31% |
L 21-38 |
2-2 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Old Dominion |
27.86 |
27.16 |
-0.70 |
55.02 |
51.12% |
L 14-21 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-17 |
@Marshall |
26.68 |
31.54 |
+4.86 |
58.22 |
42.20% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
@App State |
34.05 |
15.34 |
-18.71 |
49.39 |
80.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-01 |
@UConn |
23.04 |
38.10 |
+15.07 |
61.14 |
25.84% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
@James Madison |
16.56 |
49.46 |
+32.90 |
66.02 |
0.10% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
Arkansas State |
32.66 |
26.06 |
-6.60 |
58.73 |
60.58% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@Texas State |
29.54 |
50.86 |
+21.32 |
80.39 |
15.81% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Coastal Carolina |
27.42 |
34.02 |
+6.60 |
61.44 |
39.42% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
1.70% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
12.79% |
1.70% |
98.30% |
| 4-8 |
31.13% |
14.50% |
85.50% |
| 5-7 |
33.34% |
45.63% |
54.37% |
| 6-6 |
16.82% |
78.97% |
21.03% |
| 7-5 |
3.90% |
95.79% |
4.21% |
| 8-4 |
0.31% |
99.69% |
0.31% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.25% |
| 2-10 |
2.44% |
| 3-9 |
9.77% |
| 4-8 |
20.83% |
| 5-7 |
26.89% |
| 6-6 |
22.58% |
| 7-5 |
12.00% |
| 8-4 |
4.24% |
| 9-3 |
0.89% |
| 10-2 |
0.11% |
| 11-1 |
0.01% |